THE DECLINE OF FERTILITY IN THE UNITED STATES, 1790-2000
J David Hacker
State University New York Binghamton, Vestal Pky E, Po Box 6000, Binghamton, Ny 13902-6000
Grant 5K01HD052617-04 from Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute Of Child Health & Human Development
Abstract: Research on the causes and policy implications of fertility decline and differentials in the United States has been hampered a lack of comparable, long-term fertility estimates and a focus on short-term factors. This project will (1) produce a consistently constructed and comparable set of fertility trends and differentials between 1790 and 2000; and (2) construct empirical models to understand the processes by which fertility declined. The analysis relies on data from two complementary sources The Integrated Public Use Microdata Series (IPUMS), a series of large, high-precision census microdata samples for fifteen census years between 1850 and 2000, and the National Historical Geographic Information System (NHGIS) project, a compatible dataset of aggregate data collected with the 1790-2000 censuses. The proposed development plan is designed to accomplish four objectives 1) to acquire new methodological skills to allow me to accurately describe and explain long-term fertility decline in the United States; 2) to acquire a better theoretical grounding from which to integrate social and economic explanations of why American fertility declined; 3) to present my work at scholarly conferences and publish in leading journals; and 4) to prepare a grant proposal to support an independent research program. My plan includes three separate training components mentorship by leading demographers and economists, coursework in demography at the University of Pennsylvania, and participation in the population research community via workshops and seminars at the Pennsylvania Population Studies Center and annual meetings of the Population Association of America
Keywords: 0-11 years old; Age; Aggregated Data; Aggregation, Data; American; Americas; Applications Grants; Back; Birth; Birth Rate; Censuses; Child; Child Youth; Children (0-21); Communities; Contraception; Contraceptive methods; County; Data; Data Aggregation; Data Reporting; Data Set; Data Sources; Dataset; Demographer; Demography; Development Plans; Diffusion; Dorsum; Economics; Educational workshop; Farm; Farming environment; Fecundability; Fecundity; Fertility; Fertility Control; Fertility Rates; Fertility, Marital; GIS; Geographic Information Systems; Grant Proposals; Grants, Applications; Human, Child; Individual; Inhibition of Fertilization; Journals; Magazine; Marital Fertility; Marriage; Mentorship; Methods; Methods and Techniques; Methods, Other; Minnesota; Modeling; Parity Progression Ratios; Parturition; Pennsylvania; Plans, Development; Population; Population Research; Population Studies / Demography; Population Study; Price; Process; Programs (PT); Programs [Publication Type]; Publishing; Rates, Fertility; Ratios, Parity Progression; Reporting, Data; Research; SUBGP; Sampling; Series; Source; Sources, Data; Subgroup; Techniques; Testing; Time; Training; United States; Universities; Work; Workshop; children; cohort; conference; design; designing; geographic information system; improved; meetings; methods to study multiple-level influences; multilevel analysis; multilevel model; multilevel modeling; parity; policy implication; pricing; programs; skills; social; symposium; theories; trend; youngster
Project start date: 2006-06-01
Project end date: 2011-05-31
Budget start date: 1-JUN-2009
Budget end date: 31-MAY-2010
PFA/PA: PA-00-019
5K01HD052617-04 (2009): $131646
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THE DECLINE OF FERTILITY IN THE UNITED STATES, 1790-2000
J David Hacker
State University New York Binghamton, Vestal Pky E, Po Box 6000, Binghamton, Ny 13902-6000
Grant 5K01HD052617-05 from Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute Of Child Health & Human Development
Abstract: Research on the causes and policy implications of fertility decline and differentials in the United States has been hampered a lack of comparable, long-term fertility estimates and a focus on short-term factors. This project will (1) produce a consistently constructed and comparable set of fertility trends and differentials between 1790 and 2000; and (2) construct empirical models to understand the processes by which fertility declined. The analysis relies on data from two complementary sources The Integrated Public Use Microdata Series (IPUMS), a series of large, high-precision census microdata samples for fifteen census years between 1850 and 2000, and the National Historical Geographic Information System (NHGIS) project, a compatible dataset of aggregate data collected with the 1790-2000 censuses. The proposed development plan is designed to accomplish four objectives 1) to acquire new methodological skills to allow me to accurately describe and explain long-term fertility decline in the United States; 2) to acquire a better theoretical grounding from which to integrate social and economic explanations of why American fertility declined; 3) to present my work at scholarly conferences and publish in leading journals; and 4) to prepare a grant proposal to support an independent research program. My plan includes three separate training components mentorship by leading demographers and economists, coursework in demography at the University of Pennsylvania, and participation in the population research community via workshops and seminars at the Pennsylvania Population Studies Center and annual meetings of the Population Association of America
Keywords: 0-11 years old; Age; Aggregated Data; Aggregation, Data; American; Americas; Applications Grants; Back; Birth; Birth Rate; Censuses; Child; Child Youth; Children (0-21); Communities; Contraception; Contraceptive methods; County; Data; Data Aggregation; Data Reporting; Data Set; Data Sources; Dataset; Demographer; Demography; Development Plans; Diffusion; Dorsum; Economics; Educational workshop; Farm; Farming environment; Fecundability; Fecundity; Fertility; Fertility Control; Fertility Rates; GIS; Geographic Information Systems; Grant Proposals; Grants, Applications; Human, Child; Individual; Inhibition of Fertilization; Journals; Magazine; Marital Fertility; Marriage; Mentorship; Methods; Methods and Techniques; Methods, Other; Minnesota; Modeling; Parity Progression Ratios; Parturition; Pennsylvania; Population; Population Research; Population Studies / Demography; Population Study; Price; Process; Programs (PT); Programs [Publication Type]; Publishing; Research; SUBGP; Sampling; Series; Source; Subgroup; Techniques; Testing; Time; Training; United States; Universities; Work; Workshop; children; cohort; conference; design; designing; geographic information system; improved; meetings; methods to study multiple-level influences; multilevel analysis; multilevel model; multilevel modeling; parity; policy implication; pricing; programs; skills; social; symposium; theories; trend; youngster
Project start date: 2006-06-01
Project end date: 2011-05-31
Budget start date: 1-JUN-2010
Budget end date: 31-MAY-2011
PFA/PA: PA-00-019
5K01HD052617-05 (2010): $135570
5K01HD052617-02 (2007): $129137
Grants awarded to J David Hacker
The Decline Of Fertility In The United States, 1790-2000
J David Hacker
State University New York Binghamton Vestal Pky E, Po Box 6000 Binghamton, Ny 139026000
Grant 1K01HD052617-01 from National Institute Of Child Health And Human Development IRG: CHHD
Abstract: Research on the causes and policy implications of fertility decline and differentials in the United States has been hampered a lack of comparable, long-term fertility estimates and a focus on short-term factors. This project will (1) produce a consistently constructed and comparable set of fertility trends and differentials between 1790 and 2000; and (2) construct empirical models to understand the processes by which fertility declined. The analysis relies on data from two complementary sources The Integrated Public Use Microdata Series (IPUMS), a series of large, high-precision census microdata samples for fifteen census years between 1850 and 2000, and the National Historical Geographic Information System (NHGIS) project, a compatible dataset of aggregate data collected with the 1790-2000 censuses. The proposed development plan is designed to accomplish four objectives 1) to acquire new methodological skills to allow me to accurately describe and explain long-term fertility decline in the United States; 2) to acquire a better theoretical grounding from which to integrate social and economic explanations of why American fertility declined; 3) to present my work at scholarly conferences and publish in leading journals; and 4) to prepare a grant proposal to support an independent research program. My plan includes three separate training components mentorship by leading demographers and economists, coursework in demography at the University of Pennsylvania, and participation in the population research community via workshops and seminars at the Pennsylvania Population Studies Center and annual meetings of the Population Association of America.
Keywords: United States, fertility, human population study, longitudinal human study, birth, marriage /marital status, model design /development, parity, social model, socioeconomics, human data
Project start date: 2006-06-01
Project end date: 2011-05-31
1K01HD052617-01 (2006): $122279